Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Christoph Negritu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent performance on second serve shows a difference with Aguilar securing 42.25% of points compared to Negritu's 47.13%. Could this give Negritu an upper hand?
• In returning games, Aguilar outperforms on both second and first serve returns with 50.48% and 31.81% success rates respectively against Negritu's 45.86% and 25.46%.
• Evaluating pressure situations, Negritu edges ahead by saving 60.19% of breakpoints, while Aguilar saves 51.9%.
• Aguilar boasts a higher match win percentage over the past year at 68.83%, versus Negritu's 55.84%.
• Surface preferences are notable; Aguilar excels on Clay (60%), while Negritu's best is on Hard courts (61%).
• Both players mainly compete in Challengers/ITF events. Aguilar's win rate is slightly higher at 61.22%, compared to Negritu's 54.79%.
• Direct head-to-head performance favors Negritu, who holds a 1-0 lead in matches and deciding sets.
• Under pressure, Aguilar has won 1 tiebreaks against Negritu, whereas Negritu has not yet won any.
• Competence against ranked players shows Aguilar facing slightly lower-ranked opponents (average rank 358.39) compared to Negritu (346.92).
• Aguilar has a higher deciding set win percentage at 64% over the last year, with Negritu at 56%.
• Recent breakpoint conversion rates are closely matched, with Aguilar at 31.92% and Negritu at 31.25%.

Editorial Prediction (September 1, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent statistics and historical data, the upcoming match promises to be competitive given both players' solid performances in key areas of the game.

Negritu appears stronger in serving under pressure and converting second serve opportunities, which could be critical in tightly contested games. However, Aguilar shows superior capabilities in both returning serve and excelling during deciding set scenarios.

The choice of playing surface might play an important role. Aguilar performs notably better on Clay where this match might take place, tipping the scale slightly in Aguilar's favor despite Negritu's previous head-to-head win.

With close performance figures and pressure play statistics, Aguilar might hold a minor edge, especially if the match extends into a deciding set. Nonetheless, both players seem evenly matched in breakpoints conversion, limiting clear distinctions.

Overall, given these analyses, Aguilar is slightly more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash, barring any dynamic shifts during the event.